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Contest 7 of 14

Ballot order #7

Proposition 38

Authorizes Bonds for Immunology Medical Research. Initiative Statute.

Fiscal Impact

About $12 billion over 20 years in bond repayment (LAO estimate)

Short Term

State spendsState raises

State pays about $500–600 million a year to repay the research bond.

Long Term

State spendsState raises

Repayment runs about 20 years. (If the research later earns revenue, some or all of the cost could be recovered — the LAO gives no figure, so it is not counted here.)

Social Impact

  • The $8.4 billion bond funds immunology and immunotherapy research, split equally between one UC-affiliated nonprofit institute and research grants for public or nonprofit universities and institutions.
  • At least half the funds are dedicated to cancer, heart disease, and Alzheimer's disease, and resulting treatments sold in California must be priced 20% below the national average.
  • Supporters say the funding will accelerate development of treatments and cures for cancer, heart disease, Alzheimer's, and other diseases.
  • Opponents say research priorities should be set through the budget process and scientific review, not locked into a bond for one field.

A YES vote means:

The state borrows $8.4 billion for immunology and immunotherapy research, with half the money going to a single UC-affiliated research institute and half to research grants, repaid at $500 to $600 million a year for about 20 years.

A NO vote means:

The state does not borrow this money for this research.

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Cost (Legislative Analyst): Increased state cost of $500 million to $600 million annually for about 20 years to repay the research bond, with some or all of the cost offset if the funded research generates revenue.

Source: CA Secretary of State, Official Voter Information Guide