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Contest 9 of 14

Ballot order #9

Proposition 40

Imposes One-Time Tax on Certain Taxpayers. Initiative Constitutional Amendment and Statute.

Fiscal Impact

Tens of billions over several years in new tax revenue (LAO estimate)

Short Term

State spendsState raises

One-time money: tens of billions of dollars in wealth tax, spread over several years — about $6 billion a year while it lasts.

Long Term

State losesState raises

Possible ongoing dip of less than $1 billion a year in income tax collected from billionaires.

Social Impact

  • The measure imposes a one-time tax of up to 5% on taxpayers with covered assets over $1 billion, including businesses, securities, art, collectibles, and intellectual property.
  • Revenues are allocated 90% to health care and 10% to food assistance or education-related programs, and may not replace existing funding for those purposes.
  • Supporters say the tax will raise about $100 billion from about 200 billionaires to keep hospitals and emergency rooms open and health coverage in place.
  • Opponents say the tax will drive companies and wealthy residents out of state and cost California $25 billion in revenue for schools and health care.

A YES vote means:

Billionaires pay a one-time tax of 5% of their wealth, raising tens of billions of dollars over several years, mostly for health care; the state might also see an ongoing decrease of less than $1 billion a year in income tax collected from billionaires.

A NO vote means:

No one-time wealth tax is collected from billionaires.

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Cost (Legislative Analyst): Temporary revenue increase of tens of billions of dollars spread over several years from wealth tax on billionaires. Possible ongoing decrease of less than $1 billion per year in income tax revenue from billionaires.

How these interact: Propositions 41 and 42 each say that if they pass with more YES votes than a conflicting measure on this same ballot, the conflicting measure does not take effect. Proposition 40 is a measure on this ballot that those rules could reach.

Source: CA Secretary of State, Official Voter Information Guide